NHL Calder Trophy Odds: Wolf Is Real Calder Value
Fri, 02/28/2025 – 13:30
Macklin Celebrini is starting to run away with the 2025 NHL Calder Trophy odds. The Sharks’ young stud is now -280 at the top of the Calder odds, with Lane Hutson (+450) and Matvei Michkov (+600) sitting just behind.
I think there’s some value down the board in a guy like Dustin Wolf, though:
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NHL Calder Trophy Odds For 2024-2025
| Player | Team | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini | San Jose Sharks | -280 |
| Lane Hutson | Montreal Canadiens | +450 |
| Matvei Michkov | Philadelphia Flyers | +600 |
| Dustin Wolf | Calgary Flames | +2500 |
| Logan Stankoven | Dallas Stars | +30000 |
| Cutter Gauthier | Anaheim Ducks | +30000 |
Odds as of February 28th at FanDuel
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2024-25 Calder Trophy Favorite: Macklin Celebrini
With 42 points in 48 games, Celebrini is only two points back of the rookie scoring lead but sits first among all rookies for points per game. That scoring rate is going to be key for Celebrini’s Calder credentials. The Sharks’ first overall pick from a year ago has missed a handful of games, playing only those 39 compared to 48 like Calder challenger Hutson but is technically more productive.
Playing on a line with Willaim Eklund and Tyler Toffoli has helped round out last year’s first-overall draft pick into an offensive force, giving him steady pillars on the wing to build out his game at the pro level. Should he continue to score near a point-per-game pace, he’ll be a strong contender for the Calder.
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2024-25 Calder Trophy Odds Value Pick: Dustin Wolf
I still think Dustin Wolf has a path to this Calder. Celebrini, Michkov, and Hutson are all putting up massive offensive seasons, but Wolf has been the best young goalie in the league by far.
With his 20-12-3 record and .913 save percentage, Wolf has almost single-handedly pulled the Flames into postseason competition. Wolf is the ONLY rookie goalie (min 12 games started) with a save percentage over .900. He’s got a better save percentage than Jacob Markstrom, Linus Ullmark, and Jake Oettinger — all top tier NHL starting goalies on far better teams than Wolf’s Flames.
At first glance, Wolf’s statistics are merely good, not great. But, league-wide NHL save percentage is the lowest it’s been since 2006 (.901), so Wolf’s .913 mark is actually fantastic. If voters recognize how good of a goalie he’s been, Wolf is great Calder value at FanDuel.
Last 10 Calder Trophy Winners
| Year | Player | Opening Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Connor Bedard (CHI) | -135 |
| 2023 | Matty Beniers (SEA) | +400 |
| 2022 | Moritz Seider (DET) | +1200 |
| 2021 | Kirill Kaprizov (MIN) | +400 |
| 2020 | Cale Makar (COL) | +400 |
| 2019 | Elias Pettersson (VAN) | +240 |
| 2018 | Mathew Barzal (NYI) | +1800 |
| 2017 | Auston Matthews (TOR) | -130 |
| 2016 | Artemi Panarin (CHI) | +2200 |
| 2015 | Aaron Ekblad (FLA) | +700 |
It’s always great to look back on a list like this and see just how many of these players turned into absolute superstars – there’s a noticeable lack of Connor McDavid thanks to him only playing 45 games in his rookie year due to injury.
The teams are always fresh too, with no squad winning a back-to-back Calder since the Boston Bruins in 1967 and 1968.
NHL Teams with the Most Calder Trophy winners
| Team | # Calder Trophies Won | Most Recent Winner |
|---|---|---|
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 10 | Auston Matthews (C) – 2017 |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 9 | Artemi Panarin (LW) – 2016 |
| New York Rangers | 8 | Brian Leetch (D) – 1989 |
| Boston Bruins | 8 | Andrew Raycroft (G) – 2004 |
| Montreal Canadiens | 6 | Ken Dryden (G) – 1972 |
| Detroit Red Wings | 6 | Moritz Seider (D) – 2022 |
| New York Islanders | 5 | Mathew Barzal (RW) – 2018 |
| Colorado Avalanche | 4 | Cale Makar (D) – 2020 |
Auston Matthews’ 2017 win snapped quite the cold streak for the Leafs, going 51 years without a Calder win – their wins come from the early days of the NHL. You’ll notice the top six teams are the Original Six squads, owing to their high wins to being around the longest you could assume.
NHL Teams that have never had a player win the Calder Trophy
- Anaheim Ducks
- Arizona Coyotes
- Dallas Stars
- Nashville Predators
- Philadelphia Flyers
- Tampa Bay Lightning
- Vegas Golden Knights
These are all relatively “newer” teams, with the Flyers and Stars being the oldest squads on this list after joining in the 60s. With Michkov (Philadelphia) and Stankoven (Dallas) at the top of the 2024-25 Calder Trophy odds board, maybe one of those two franchises finally gets their first Calder winner.
Calder Trophy Betting Trends
With a collection of potential superstars at the start of every season, you need all the stats you can get when trying to predict the next Calder winner. The results can be shocking with early picks winding up as busts or late selections making themselves the best players in their age category. Here are a few trends over the last few seasons that might indicate who’ll take home the Calder:
- Three out of ten of the most recent winners were defensemen, and while that isn’t a high number, it does show the award is open to any skater skilled enough to take it.
- 50% of the last decade’s winners have been centers, giving their role a slight edge in the Calder race.
- Steve Mason was the last goaltender to win the Calder in 2009, meaning goalies rarely get any love with this award.
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Calder Trophy Odds
Who holds the best Calder Trophy odds?
We aren’t sure just yet, the odds have not been made available. But Chicago Blackhawks Connor Bedard is likely to feature favorably for the 2024 ROTY.
Who won the last Calder Trophy?
Seattle Kraken’s Matty Beniers won the 2023 Calder Trophy with 24 goals and 57 points. The most for rookies last year.
Who has won the last 10 Calder Trophies?
Since 2013, the Calder Trophy has been awarded to seven forwards (six centers and one winger). Three defensemen have won the award in the last 10 years.
That means no right-wing forward or goalie has won the Calder Trophy in at least the last 10 years.
Last 10 Calder Sportsbooks:
- 2014 – Nathan MacKinnon
- 2015 – Aaron Ekblad
- 2016 – Artemi Panarin
- 2017 – Auston Matthews
- 2018 – Mathew Barzal
- 2019 – Elias Pettersson
- 2020 – Cale Makar
- 2021 – Kirill Kaprizov
- 2022 – Mortiz Seider
- 2023 – Matty Beniers
