The Kansas City Chiefs will meet the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl 59 on February 9, 2025 in New Orleans. Let’s break down the 2025 Super Bowl odds with the big game just under a fortnight away.
The Chiefs have the highest ticket % (12.6%) and handle % (16.8%) to win the Super Bowl per BetMGM. Sportsbooks will be rooting for the underdog Eagles to come out on top on Super Bowl Sunday. Per BetMGM, the first week of Super Bowl prep has bettors all over the City of Brotherly Love, as the Eagles moneyline is the most popular Super Bowl bet. However, Chiefs’ futures liability has sportsbooks hoping for an Eagles win.
Here’s a complete breakdown of updated 2025 Super Bowl odds and some value picks:
Who Is Favored To Win Super Bowl 59?
Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs are favored to win Super Bowl 59 at -120 odds.
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Super Bowl Odds Movement
A variety of factors can cause Super Bowl odds movement, including injuries, team performance, or transactions. If you look at 2025 Super Bowl odds today, you’ll see movement for the Chiefs:
Rising: Kansas City Chiefs
Mahomes and the Chiefs are inevitable. Despite likely NFL MVP Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills offense having a number of chances to win the AFC Championship game, the Chiefs will be fighting for their third-straight Super Bowl title.
In the game’s biggest moments, Mahomes was once again unflappable. Bills fans will be ruing the day they traded down with Kansas City, allowing the Chiefs to pick the former Texas Tech quarterback in the 2017 NFL draft. Mahomes threw for one touchdown and ran in two more to will his team to victory.
That being said, Steve Spagnuolo’s defense deserves a ton of credit for lifting the Chiefs to the win. The four-time Super Bowl champ called the perfect blitz to disrupt Allen on the game’s critical fourth-down. When all was said-and-done, Andy Reid and Spags simply outcoached Sean McDermott and Joe Brady. They’ll look to do the same in Super Bowl 59 and lift their fourth Lombardi Trophy together.
Super Bowl 2025 Odds Best Bet: Chiefs (-120)
Can you really afford to bet against Patrick Mahomes?
Jalen Hurts had one of the greatest games of all-time in Super Bowl 57, and yet, his team still lost. Hurts and Saquon Barkley would have to heroic to defeat the great Mahomes.
Philadelphia may have more talent overall, but somehow, someway, the Chiefs still manage to grind out victories – even against the very best teams. Kansas City will do the same in Super Bowl 59.
Odds Shark’s NFL Picks & Odds
Making A Betting Strategy For Super Bowl 59
Crafting a winning Super Bowl betting strategy begins long before the first kickoff of the regular season. Assessing offseason changes, coaching adjustments, and previous performances are crucial factors.
You’re likely to get the best betting value on a team if you place a bet before the season, but there are times in the regular season and even playoffs when you can still place a smart bet. Keep an eye on the odds, as they fluctuate throughout the year due to injuries, trades, and team performance. Acting swiftly when you spot favorable odds ensures maximizing potential winnings, as odds can shift dramatically over time at NFL sportsbooks.
The general key to crafting a betting strategy for Super Bowl odds is comparing a team’s likelihood of winning in your mind to where they are on the odds board. Finding a team much more likely to win than the odds indicate is the smartest bet you can make. This strategy holds true for most futures odds, including NFL award odds.
Last 10 Super Bowl Champions
| Year | Team | Preseason Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 (58) | Kansas City Chiefs | +600 | Chiefs 25 – 49ers 22 |
| 2023 (57) | Kansas City Chiefs | +1000 | Chiefs 38 – Eagles 35 |
| 2022 (56) | Los Angeles Rams | +1200 | Rams 23 – Bengals 20 |
| 2021 (55) | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +1000 | Buccaneers 31 – Chiefs 9 |
| 2020 (54) | Kansas City Chiefs | +600 | Chiefs 31 – 49ers 20 |
| 2019 (53) | New England Patriots | +600 | Patriots 13 – Rams 3 |
| 2018 (52) | Philadelphia Eagles | +4000 | Eagles 41 – Patriots 33 |
| 2017 (51) | New England Patriots | +600 | Patriots 34 – Falcons 28 |
| 2016 (50) | Denver Broncos | +900 | Broncos 24 – Panthers 10 |
| 2015 (49) | New England Patriots | +650 | Patriots 28 – Seahawks 24 |
The Kansas City Chiefs have been a powerhouse lately, winning three of the last five Super Bowls. Led by coach Andy Reid and QB Patrick Mahomes, you can expect the Chiefs at the top of these odds as long as they’re around.
The biggest recent Super Bowl underdog was the 2017 Eagles, who beat Brady’s Patriots in the final. They even did so after their No. 1 QB, Carson Wentz, went down with an injury late in the season. Backup Nick Foles took over under center and earned Super Bowl MVP honors to deliver great preseason odds value to Philly’s Super Bowl 52 bettors.
NFL Teams with the Most Super Bowls
| Team | Super Bowl Wins | Super Bowl Appearances | Last Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots | 6 | 11 | 2018 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6 | 8 | 2008 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 7 | 1994 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 5 | 8 | 1995 |
| Green Bay Packers | 4 | 5 | 2010 |
| New York Giants | 4 | 5 | 2011 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 4 | 6 | 2024 |
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 5 | 1991 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 8 | 2015 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | 5 | 1983 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 2 | 2 | 2012 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2 | 2 | 2020 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2 | 4 | 2006 |
| Miami Dolphins | 2 | 5 | 1973 |
| New Orleans Saints | 1 | 1 | 2009 |
| New York Jets | 1 | 1 | 1968 |
| Chicago Bears | 1 | 2 | 1985 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 1 | 4 | 2017 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 1 | 3 | 2021 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 1 | 3 | 2013 |
The Steelers and Patriots dominate the history of the Super Bowl. They’ve appeared in 19 of the 57 Super Bowls, winning six each. There is some decent NFL parity, though, with 20 teams claiming a title all-time.
NFL Teams that have never won a Super Bowl
The 12 teams that have never won a Super Bowl are:
- Buffalo Bills (four Super Bowl appearances)
- Minnesota Vikings (4)
- Atlanta Falcons (2)
- Carolina Panthers (2)
- Cincinnati Bengals (2)
- Arizona Cardinals (1)
- Tennessee Titans (1)
- Los Angeles Chargers (1)
- Cleveland Browns (0)
- Detroit Lions (0)
- Jacksonville Jaguars (0)
- Houston Texans (0)
Super Bowl Betting Trends
Trends aren’t the only thing that dictates future success, but they can give insight into some teams and details both bettors and sportsbooks often overlook. Check out these Super Bowl trends below or weekly NFL betting trends for game-to-game data.
- 8 of the last 12 Super Bowls have been won by an AFC team.
- 13 of the last 16 Super Bowl-winning QBs have been at least 27 at the time of their victory.
- No rookie QB has ever won the Super Bowl as a starter.
- Cheap out at RB: The rushing leader of nine of the last 11 Super Bowl Champs has made $2.5 million or less base salary.
- A quarterback has won Super Bowl MVP 15 of the last 23 years.
